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Parma W vs Ternana W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma W Logo

Parma W

1 - 2
FT
Ternana W Logo

Ternana W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Hornemann S.
(Penalty)
36'
Regazzoli A.
38' Event
Distefano G.
Assist: Healy E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women game between Parma W and Ternana W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ternana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Parma W
15%
Draws
51%
Ternana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ternana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Parma W haven't matched Ternana W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Parma W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Parma W Clean Sheet 15%
Ternana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parma W Ternana W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Ternana W
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Serie A Women
Parma W vs Ternana W
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs Parma W
0:0
May 11, 2025 Serie B Women
Parma W vs Ternana W
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie B Women
Ternana W vs Parma W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Distefano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ternana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hornemann S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parma W 41 / 100
Ternana W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parma W Ternana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ternana W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Ternana W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Parma W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Parma W VS Ternana W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parma W

(Home)
03 Oct
Parma W
1 : 2
Ternana W
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
19 Sept
Arezzo W
0 : 3
Parma W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
Page 1 of 6

Ternana W

(Away)
03 Oct
Parma W
1 : 2
Ternana W
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
20 Sept
Catania W
1 : 5
Ternana W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Inter W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Como 1907 W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Como W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
5 AC Milan W 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
6 Fiorentina W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Juventus W 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
8 Ternana W 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Parma W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
10 Lazio W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 Napoli W 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
12 Sassuolo W 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Relegation - Serie B Women 2027/2028 (Main)