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Parnahyba vs Julho Esporte

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Pepeo
90'
Baltazar P.

AI Match Summary

Julho Esporte in this Piauiense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Julho Esporte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Parnahyba
30%
Draws
29%
Julho Esporte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Parnahyba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parnahyba lately — more wins on the board than Julho Esporte.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Piauiense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Parnahyba Clean Sheet 16%
Julho Esporte Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnahyba Julho Esporte
Matches Played 43 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.12 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Parnahyba
2:4
Jan 26, 2025 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Julho Esporte
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 Piauiense
Parnahyba vs Julho Esporte
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Parnahyba
0:0
Feb 12, 2023 Piauiense
Julho Esporte vs Parnahyba
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnahyba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Julho Esporte Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepeo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnahyba 31 / 100
Julho Esporte 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnahyba Julho Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnahyba's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Julho Esporte has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Parnahyba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parnahyba VS Julho Esporte
0.88 Goals Scored 1.4
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnahyba

(Home)
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Iguatu
2 : 2
Parnahyba
24 May
Parnahyba
0 : 1
Maracana
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Julho Esporte

(Away)
19 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 3
Picos
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
09 Sept
Flamengo PI
1 : 0
Julho Esporte
05 Sept
Julho Esporte
3 : 0
Caicara
02 Mar
AE Altos
4 : 0
Julho Esporte
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AE Altos 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Fluminense-PI 6 2 3 1 7:4 9
3 Atletico-PI 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
4 River-PI 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piaui 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
2 Parnahyba 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Oeirense 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Julho Esporte 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Piauiense 2025 (Second stage)