Sport Picks

Austria

Regionalliga East 2025/2026

SV Oberwart

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Regionalliga East 2025/2026 encounter between Parndorf and SV Oberwart promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Parndorf averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. SV Oberwart shows a form average of 3.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Parndorf, 1 wins for SV Oberwart, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.04.26 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.50 for Parndorf and 1.88 for SV Oberwart, suggesting the primary value lies in the Parndorf double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Parndorf

26%

Draws

34%

SV Oberwart

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Parndorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Parndorf picked up more points recently compared to SV Oberwart.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Parndorf Clean Sheet 10%

SV Oberwart Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Parndorf	SV Oberwart
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	16
Draws	7	5
Losses	6	9
Goals Scored	1.83	3.07
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

14.04.26 Regionalliga East

Parndorf vs SV Oberwart

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

01.08.25 Regionalliga East

SV Oberwart vs Parndorf

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

17.03.23 Burgenland

SV Oberwart vs Parndorf

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

12.08.22 Burgenland

Parndorf vs SV Oberwart

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

13.05.22 Burgenland

SV Oberwart vs Parndorf

Possession: 57% - 44% Cards: 4 - 4

2:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Parndorf

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

SV Oberwart

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parndorf 38 / 100

SV Oberwart 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Parndorf SV Oberwart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Parndorf or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Parndorf 44%

SV Oberwart 27%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Parndorf 38%

SV Oberwart 36%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Parndorf 40%

SV Oberwart 34%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Parndorf 42%

SV Oberwart 32%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Parndorf 36%

SV Oberwart 37%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Parndorf 46%

SV Oberwart 39%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Parndorf attacking → ← attacking SV Oberwart

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parndorf have found the net in 77% of their last 30 matches.

SV Oberwart have conceded at least one goal in 63% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Parndorf remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

SV Oberwart suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 53

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gloggnitz	32	18	8	6	58:45	62
2	Parndorf	32	18	8	6	58:34	62
3	Kremser	32	17	7	8	61:33	58
4	Leobendorf	32	18	3	11	48:34	57
5	SV Oberwart	32	17	5	10	73:42	56
6	Horn	32	14	9	9	57:35	51
7	Traiskirchen	32	14	8	10	70:52	50
8	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	32	13	10	9	55:37	49
9	Donaufeld Wien	32	13	8	11	51:44	47
10	Wiener	32	13	7	12	54:52	46
11	Wiener Viktoria	32	13	6	13	50:51	45
12	SV Donau	32	12	8	12	50:57	44
13	Favoritner	32	12	3	17	44:52	39
14	Sportunion Mauer	32	10	7	15	32:47	37
15	Neusiedl	32	8	5	19	46:72	29
16	Retz	32	4	8	20	25:64	20
17	TWL Elektra	32	2	2	28	21:102	8