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Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Levadia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rodionov F.
22' Event
Rodionov F.
57' Event
Kutsar K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and Levadia U19 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
15%
Draws
54%
Levadia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia U19 come out ahead of Parnu JK Vaprus U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Parnu JK Vaprus U21's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Levadia U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 3.17 2.69
Goals Conceded 2 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Levadia U19
2:3
Jun 15, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Levadia U19
4:2
Mar 15, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohnja I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Levadia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodionov F.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 38 / 100
Levadia U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Levadia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Levadia U19 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Levadia U19
4.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
17 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Tulevik
14 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 1
Tabasalu
11 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Levadia U19

(Away)
18 Oct
Levadia U19
3 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Oct
Tartu Kalev
0 : 2
Levadia U19
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 33 22 4 7 74:36 70
2 Levadia U19 33 21 2 10 83:53 65
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 33 18 4 11 90:62 58
4 Johvi Phoenix 33 17 3 13 72:76 54
5 Tulevik 33 16 5 12 86:67 53
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 33 15 5 13 100:67 50
7 Tartu Kalev 33 16 2 15 76:62 50
8 Tabasalu 33 10 4 19 46:85 34
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 33 8 6 19 65:82 30
10 Legion 33 3 3 27 27:129 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)