Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Narva U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Korre A.
9' Event
Orm R.
36' Event
Pikk E. T.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and Narva U21 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
30%
Draws
39%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Parnu JK Vaprus U21 haven't matched Narva U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Parnu JK Vaprus U21 a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Narva U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Narva U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.82 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
4:1
May 17, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Narva U21
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orm R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Narva U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 65 / 100
Narva U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Narva U21 has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Narva U21
2.88 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
24 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
6 : 0
Tabasalu
20 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 2
Tulevik
15 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
10 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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Narva U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
15 Aug
Narva U21
1 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
09 Aug
Legion
1 : 3
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia U19 26 16 2 8 65:44 50
2 Narva U21 25 15 3 7 64:34 48
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 26 14 4 8 69:53 46
4 Johvi Phoenix 26 14 3 9 59:55 45
5 Tartu Kalev 26 13 2 11 65:50 41
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 26 12 4 10 74:55 40
7 Tulevik 26 11 5 10 64:54 38
8 Tabasalu 26 9 2 15 37:71 29
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 26 6 5 15 52:63 23
10 Legion 25 3 2 20 23:93 11
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)