Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Narva U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Korre A.
9' Event
Orm R.
36' Event
Pikk E. T.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and Narva U21 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
33%
Draws
27%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Parnu JK Vaprus U21 haven't matched Narva U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Parnu JK Vaprus U21 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Narva U21
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Narva U21
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orm R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Narva U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 38 / 100
Narva U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Narva U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (22 games).

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Narva U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Narva U21
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777