Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tabasalu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 host Tabasalu in the Esiliiga B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Tabasalu have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have conceded 2 and scored 3.33. Head-to-head, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have won 3 to Tabasalu's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2026, ending 6:0. The numbers (2.94 xG vs 1.44) point toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
15%
Draws
26%
Tabasalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parnu JK Vaprus U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tabasalu.
  • Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tabasalu
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 3.33 1.72
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tabasalu
6:0
Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:8
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 84 / 100
Tabasalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tabasalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Tabasalu has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 6.33 goals.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Tabasalu
3 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 6

Tabasalu

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
5 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
6 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)