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Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Smirnov S.
23' Event
Korre A.
56' Event
Kolvart S.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and Tallinna Kalev U21 finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
20%
Draws
40%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Parnu JK Vaprus U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Parnu JK Vaprus U21 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 3.25 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.96 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:1
Sep 6, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
7:0
Jun 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:2
Apr 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smirnov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 57 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tallinna Kalev U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Tallinna Kalev U21 let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Tallinna Kalev U21
4.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
11 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
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Tallinna Kalev U21

(Away)
11 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 31 21 3 7 72:36 66
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 31 17 3 11 71:69 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 31 16 4 11 76:61 52
5 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 31 14 5 12 96:63 47
7 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
8 Tabasalu 31 10 3 18 45:83 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 32 8 6 18 64:79 30
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)