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Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 host Tammeka Tartu U21 in the Esiliiga B. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 at 3.17 goals for, 2 against; Tammeka Tartu U21 at 2.62 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Parnu JK Vaprus U21 slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (3.25 - 1.50) back Parnu JK Vaprus U21 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
15%
Draws
48%
Tammeka Tartu U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tammeka Tartu U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tammeka Tartu U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 3.17 2.62
Goals Conceded 2 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:2
Jun 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
3:2
May 3, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21
7:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 31 / 100
Tammeka Tartu U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tammeka Tartu U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Tammeka Tartu U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Tammeka Tartu U21
4.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
17 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Tulevik
14 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 1
Tabasalu
11 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
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Tammeka Tartu U21

(Away)
19 Oct
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 : 0
Legion
15 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Oct
Tabasalu
1 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 33 22 4 7 74:36 70
2 Levadia U19 33 21 2 10 83:53 65
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 33 18 4 11 90:62 58
4 Johvi Phoenix 33 17 3 13 72:76 54
5 Tulevik 33 16 5 12 86:67 53
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 33 15 5 13 100:67 50
7 Tartu Kalev 33 16 2 15 76:62 50
8 Tabasalu 33 10 4 19 46:85 34
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 33 8 6 19 65:82 30
10 Legion 33 3 3 27 27:129 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)