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Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tulevik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 host Tulevik in the Esiliiga B. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have averaged 3.33 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Tulevik's 2.43 scored and 2.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Tulevik slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (3.25 - 2.13) back Parnu JK Vaprus U21 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
15%
Draws
42%
Tulevik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 come out ahead of Tulevik on wins alone.
  • Model gives Parnu JK Vaprus U21 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • History favors Tulevik here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tulevik
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 3.33 2.43
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tulevik
2:2
May 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
3:1
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 47 / 100
Tulevik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Tulevik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Tulevik conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Solid form: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 VS Tulevik
4.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 6

Tulevik

(Away)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)