Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Parnu JK Vaprus play Harju JK Laagri in the Meistriliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Parnu JK Vaprus averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Harju JK Laagri averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Parnu JK Vaprus won 3, Harju JK Laagri won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.38 for Harju JK Laagri. This points to a Parnu JK Vaprus double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Parnu JK Vaprus picked up more points recently compared to Harju JK Laagri.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Parnu JK Vaprus | Harju JK Laagri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Parnu JK Vaprus Compare
Harju JK Laagri Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Parnu JK Vaprus scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Harju JK Laagri let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Parnu JK Vaprus went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Harju JK Laagri lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49:16 | 46 |
| 2 | Flora | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38:19 | 36 |
| 3 | Kalju | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33:16 | 34 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30:23 | 32 |
| 5 | Tammeka Tartu | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | 26 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22:34 | 23 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 34:43 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 22:32 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Narva | 18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 12:43 | 10 |