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Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parnu JK Vaprus host Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Kuressaare have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Parnu JK Vaprus have conceded 1.79 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Parnu JK Vaprus have won 3 to Kuressaare's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.81) back Parnu JK Vaprus to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Parnu JK Vaprus
30%
Draws
58%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kuressaare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Parnu JK Vaprus have won more games recently than Kuressaare.
  • Win probability leans Kuressaare's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 11%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus Kuressaare
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:2
Jun 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare
9:2
Oct 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 22 / 100
Kuressaare 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus Kuressaare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuressaare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parnu JK Vaprus scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Kuressaare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Parnu JK Vaprus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS Kuressaare
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus

(Home)
18 Oct
Harju JK Laagri
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Kalju
10 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Narva
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Kuressaare

(Away)
18 Oct
Kuressaare
0 : 2
Levadia
14 Oct
Narva
0 : 1
Kuressaare
11 Oct
Kuressaare
2 : 0
Flora
03 Oct
Kuressaare
4 : 2
Saku Sporting
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 32 25 6 1 87:22 81
2 Flora 32 19 1 12 62:44 58
3 Paide Linnameeskond 32 17 6 9 52:39 57
4 Kalju 32 15 6 11 54:33 51
5 Tammeka Tartu 32 15 2 15 42:51 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 32 14 2 16 45:47 44
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 32 10 6 16 43:63 36
8 Kuressaare 32 10 5 17 34:51 35
9 Nomme Utd 32 10 1 21 50:74 31
10 Narva 32 5 5 22 25:70 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)