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Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kivi A.
18' Event
Prunn S.
32' Event
Korre A.

AI Match Summary

Parnu JK Vaprus in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 9-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parnu JK Vaprus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Parnu JK Vaprus
11%
Draws
9%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Kuressaare haven't matched Parnu JK Vaprus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Parnu JK Vaprus a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 20%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus Kuressaare
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare
9:2
Oct 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare
0:1
Jul 20, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parnu JK Vaprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Pajo T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korre A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Kivi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prunn S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 76 / 100
Kuressaare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus Kuressaare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuressaare let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Parnu JK Vaprus scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Parnu JK Vaprus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS Kuressaare
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%