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Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Parnu Rannastaadion
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Nomm K.
4' Event
Pajo T.
(Penalty)
61'
Poder J.

AI Match Summary

Parnu JK Vaprus in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parnu JK Vaprus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Parnu JK Vaprus
39%
Draws
30%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parnu JK Vaprus lately — more wins on the board than Kuressaare.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 18%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus Kuressaare
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare
9:2
Oct 21, 2025 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Kuressaare
0:1
Jul 20, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 32 / 100
Kuressaare 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus Kuressaare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuressaare let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Parnu JK Vaprus's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Parnu JK Vaprus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS Kuressaare
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora19120739:2136
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Parnu JK Vaprus1982927:3526
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd20811139:4625
8Harju JK Laagri19711125:3222
9Kuressaare19521219:3317
10Narva19311512:4610