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Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parnu JK Vaprus host Paide Linnameeskond in the Meistriliiga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Parnu JK Vaprus have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Paide Linnameeskond's 1.45 scored and 1.42 conceded. Past meetings favor Paide Linnameeskond slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.88) back Paide Linnameeskond to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Parnu JK Vaprus
20%
Draws
69%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Parnu JK Vaprus haven't matched Paide Linnameeskond's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Paide Linnameeskond taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Paide Linnameeskond here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu JK Vaprus Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:1
May 6, 2026 Estonian Cup
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu JK Vaprus 10 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu JK Vaprus Paide Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Paide Linnameeskond let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Parnu JK Vaprus has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Parnu JK Vaprus VS Paide Linnameeskond
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu JK Vaprus

(Home)
18 Oct
Harju JK Laagri
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Kalju
10 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Narva
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
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Paide Linnameeskond

(Away)
18 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Narva
14 Oct
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
11 Oct
Levadia
1 : 0
Paide Linnameeskond
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 32 25 6 1 87:22 81
2 Flora 32 19 1 12 62:44 58
3 Paide Linnameeskond 32 17 6 9 52:39 57
4 Kalju 32 15 6 11 54:33 51
5 Tammeka Tartu 32 15 2 15 42:51 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 32 14 2 16 45:47 44
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 32 10 6 16 43:63 36
8 Kuressaare 32 10 5 17 34:51 35
9 Nomme Utd 32 10 1 21 50:74 31
10 Narva 32 5 5 22 25:70 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)