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Parnu vs Kalju U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2023
Parnu Logo

Parnu

2 - 0
FT
Kalju U21 Logo

Kalju U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2023 game between Parnu and Kalju U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Parnu
15%
Draws
85%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalju U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Parnu haven't matched Kalju U21's recent run of results.
  • Kalju U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Parnu Clean Sheet 18%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu Kalju U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.23 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Kalju U21
1:10
Aug 31, 2024 Esiliiga B
Kalju U21 vs Parnu
1:1
Jun 3, 2024 Esiliiga B
Kalju U21 vs Parnu
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Kalju U21
2:5
Oct 8, 2023 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Kalju U21
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu 10 / 100
Kalju U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu Kalju U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kalju U21 conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Parnu found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Kalju U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kalju U21
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu

(Home)
10 Nov
Kuressaare U21
3 : 1
Parnu
03 Nov
Parnu
1 : 10
Kalju U21
27 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
2 : 1
Parnu
24 Oct
Parnu
2 : 3
Tartu Kalev
20 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 3
Parnu
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Kalju U21

(Away)
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
23 Aug
Kalju U21
2 : 4
Tartu JK Welco
20 Aug
Kalju U21
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev
17 Aug
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 36 23 5 8 92:42 74
2 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 19 10 7 99:53 67
3 Narva U21 36 19 7 10 69:48 64
4 Tartu Kalev 36 18 7 11 85:71 61
5 Kuressaare U21 36 17 10 9 87:76 61
6 Tulevik 36 16 7 13 58:55 55
7 Tammeka Tartu U21 36 12 8 16 63:70 44
8 Kalju U21 36 12 5 19 90:103 41
9 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 8 2 26 67:120 26
10 Parnu 36 3 5 28 34:106 14
Promotion - Esiliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2023 (Relegation)