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Parnu vs Kuressaare U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2023
Parnu Logo

Parnu

2 - 4
FT
Kuressaare U21 Logo

Kuressaare U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kuressaare U21 in this Esiliiga B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kuressaare U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Parnu
15%
Draws
85%
Kuressaare U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kuressaare U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kuressaare U21 have won more games recently than Parnu.
  • Model gives Kuressaare U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kuressaare U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Parnu Clean Sheet 20%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu Kuressaare U21
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 1
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1.23 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Parnu
3:1
Jul 20, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Kuressaare U21
2:4
Jun 20, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Kuressaare U21
1:3
Apr 14, 2024 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Parnu
2:3
Oct 21, 2023 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Parnu
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu 20 / 100
Kuressaare U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu Kuressaare U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kuressaare U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuressaare U21 let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Kuressaare U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Parnu found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Kuressaare U21
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu

(Home)
10 Nov
Kuressaare U21
3 : 1
Parnu
03 Nov
Parnu
1 : 10
Kalju U21
27 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
2 : 1
Parnu
24 Oct
Parnu
2 : 3
Tartu Kalev
20 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 3
Parnu
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Kuressaare U21

(Away)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 36 23 5 8 92:42 74
2 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 19 10 7 99:53 67
3 Narva U21 36 19 7 10 69:48 64
4 Tartu Kalev 36 18 7 11 85:71 61
5 Kuressaare U21 36 17 10 9 87:76 61
6 Tulevik 36 16 7 13 58:55 55
7 Tammeka Tartu U21 36 12 8 16 63:70 44
8 Kalju U21 36 12 5 19 90:103 41
9 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 8 2 26 67:120 26
10 Parnu 36 3 5 28 34:106 14
Promotion - Esiliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2023 (Relegation)