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Parnu vs Tulevik

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2023 game between Parnu and Tulevik finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Parnu
15%
Draws
85%
Tulevik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tulevik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tulevik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tulevik taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Parnu Clean Sheet 12%
Tulevik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parnu Tulevik
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.23 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Parnu
3:1
Aug 3, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Tulevik
1:2
Jun 16, 2024 Esiliiga B
Parnu vs Tulevik
2:0
Apr 27, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Parnu
2:3
Nov 12, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tulevik vs Parnu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parnu 10 / 100
Tulevik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parnu Tulevik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tulevik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tulevik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Parnu's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tulevik's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tulevik
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Parnu

(Home)
10 Nov
Kuressaare U21
3 : 1
Parnu
03 Nov
Parnu
1 : 10
Kalju U21
27 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
2 : 1
Parnu
24 Oct
Parnu
2 : 3
Tartu Kalev
20 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 3
Parnu
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Tulevik

(Away)
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1
Tulevik
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 36 23 5 8 92:42 74
2 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 19 10 7 99:53 67
3 Narva U21 36 19 7 10 69:48 64
4 Tartu Kalev 36 18 7 11 85:71 61
5 Kuressaare U21 36 17 10 9 87:76 61
6 Tulevik 36 16 7 13 58:55 55
7 Tammeka Tartu U21 36 12 8 16 63:70 44
8 Kalju U21 36 12 5 19 90:103 41
9 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 8 2 26 67:120 26
10 Parnu 36 3 5 28 34:106 14
Promotion - Esiliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2023 (Relegation)