Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu

Paro

1 - 3

Altyn Asyr

Our Tip

Match Events

Myratberdiyev R.

15'

Ichimura R.

Assist: Oluwaseun F. A.

37'

Myratberdiyev R.

Assist: Annamyradov A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Paro and Altyn Asyr finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altyn Asyr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Paro

15%

Draws

38%

Altyn Asyr

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Altyn Asyr haven't matched Paro's recent run of results.
Model gives Paro a 47% chance of winning this.
Regular AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Paro Clean Sheet 20%

Altyn Asyr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paro	Altyn Asyr
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	22	19
Draws	3	3
Losses	4	6
Goals Scored	3.97	2.18
Goals Conceded	1	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	2.65	1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 AFC Challenge League

Paro vs Altyn Asyr

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ichimura R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.04

Avg xA / game 1.32

Altyn Asyr Compare

Top Goalscorer Myratberdiyev R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Rovshenmyradov R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.95

Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro 85 / 100

Altyn Asyr 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paro Altyn Asyr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paro found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Paro went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Altyn Asyr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paro VS Altyn Asyr

4 Goals Scored 1.71

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.29

100% Over 1.5 71%

63% Over 2.5 57%

63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Paro

(Home)

12 Sept

Transport United

2 : 4

Paro

08 Sept

Ugyen Academy

0 : 10

Paro

26 Aug

Paro

7 : 0

Tsirang

20 Aug

Paro

1 : 0

RTC

11 Aug

Paro

2 : 0

Abu Muslim

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Altyn Asyr

(Away)

19 Sept

Nebitci

2 : 4

Altyn Asyr

12 Sept

Altyn Asyr

2 : 0

Sagadam

22 Aug

Altyn Asyr

2 : 5

Arkadag

15 Aug

Kopetdag Asgabat

1 : 2

Altyn Asyr

07 Aug

Altyn Asyr

2 : 1

FC Asgabat

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