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Paro vs Thimphu City Prediction & H2H Stats

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Paro Logo

Paro

0 - 0
FT
Thimphu City Logo

Thimphu City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Paro and Thimphu City finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Paro
15%
Draws
39%
Thimphu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Paro's 4.14 goals per match outpaces what Thimphu City have produced (3.41).
  • Model gives Paro a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Paro Clean Sheet 10%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paro Thimphu City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 22
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 4.14 3.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu City
0:0
Oct 20, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Paro
3:3
Jul 6, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu City
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Paro
2:2
Jun 16, 2024 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu City
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro 83 / 100
Thimphu City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paro Thimphu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paro scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Paro has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Thimphu City let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paro VS Thimphu City
4.13 Goals Scored 3.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paro

(Home)
03 Oct
Paro
6 : 0
BFF Academy U19
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
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Thimphu City

(Away)
23 Sept
Thimphu City
3 : 0
Transport United
19 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 3
Thimphu City
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
10 Sept
RTC
1 : 2
Thimphu City
21 Aug
Drukpa
2 : 2
Thimphu City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 17 15 1 1 72:12 46
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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