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Paro vs Thimphu FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Paro Logo

Paro

2 - 0
FT
Thimphu FC Logo

Thimphu FC

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Jawara S.
71' Event
Jallow M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paro in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Paro
15%
Draws
39%
Thimphu FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Paro have won more games recently than Thimphu FC.
  • Paro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Paro Clean Sheet 68%
Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paro Thimphu FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 24 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 3.9 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Thimphu FC
2:0
Jul 16, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu FC vs Paro
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Jawara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jallow M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Thimphu FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paro 95 / 100
Thimphu FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paro Thimphu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paro's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Paro stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Thimphu FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paro VS Thimphu FC
3.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paro

(Home)
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
11 Aug
Paro
2 : 0
Abu Muslim
Page 1 of 7

Thimphu FC

(Away)
30 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 1
Thimphu FC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
11 Sept
Thimphu FC
2 : 1
Drukpa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 66:12 43
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 17 5 5 7 29:39 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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