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Parramatta Eagles vs Sydney Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Nikas P.
12'
Anyimba V.
15' Event
Sim M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW 2017 game between Parramatta Eagles and Sydney Utd finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Parramatta Eagles
20%
Draws
61%
Sydney Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sydney Utd come out ahead of Parramatta Eagles on wins alone.
  • Sydney Utd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL NSW 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sydney Utd have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Parramatta Eagles Clean Sheet 21%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parramatta Eagles Sydney Utd
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 21
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2017 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Sydney Utd
0:5
Apr 30, 2017 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Parramatta Eagles
5:0
Jul 17, 2016 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Sydney Utd
0:2
Apr 24, 2016 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs Parramatta Eagles
5:1
Jun 27, 2015 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Sydney Utd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parramatta Eagles Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Sim M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nikas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parramatta Eagles 10 / 100
Sydney Utd 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parramatta Eagles Sydney Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Parramatta Eagles scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Sydney Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Parramatta Eagles remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Parramatta Eagles VS Sydney Utd
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 25%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Parramatta Eagles

(Home)
11 Sept
Prospect United
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
04 Sept
Parramatta Eagles
4 : 1
Prospect United
14 Feb
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
13 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 2
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
05 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
Page 1 of 6

Sydney Utd

(Away)
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3
Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0
APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 22 16 1 5 50:18 49
2 Blacktown City 22 14 5 3 45:22 47
3 Manly Utd 22 13 3 6 47:36 42
4 Rockdale Ilinden 22 12 6 4 42:28 42
5 Sydney Olympic 22 12 4 6 35:23 40
6 Wollongong 22 12 1 9 35:28 37
7 Sydney Utd 22 10 4 8 42:27 34
8 Hakoah Sydney 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 22 5 4 13 31:50 19
10 Sutherland Sharks 22 5 1 16 29:55 16
11 Sydney FC U21 22 6 2 14 34:52 14
12 Parramatta Eagles 22 1 3 18 16:60 6
Promotion - Northern NSW 2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)