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Pars Janoobi Jam vs Navad Urmia

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
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AI Match Summary

Pars Janoobi Jam play Navad Urmia in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pars Janoobi Jam averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.57 conceded. Navad Urmia averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Pars Janoobi Jam won 2, Navad Urmia won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Pars Janoobi Jam and 0.19 for Navad Urmia. This points to a Pars Janoobi Jam double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pars Janoobi Jam
34%
Draws
17%
Navad Urmia
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Pars Janoobi Jam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Pars Janoobi Jam picked up more points recently compared to Navad Urmia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Pars Janoobi Jam Clean Sheet 35%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pars Janoobi Jam Navad Urmia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 3
Draws 11 10
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.21 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Navad Urmia
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Pars Janoobi Jam
1:1
Jun 8, 2021 Azadegan League
Pars Janoobi Jam vs Navad Urmia
1:0
Jan 25, 2021 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Pars Janoobi Jam
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pars Janoobi Jam Compare

Top Goalscorer Najafi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Navad Urmia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pars Janoobi Jam 51 / 100
Navad Urmia 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pars Janoobi Jam Navad Urmia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pars Janoobi Jam or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +28.5%
4.76
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pars Janoobi Jam attacking → ← attacking Navad Urmia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pars Janoobi Jam scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Navad Urmia let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Pars Janoobi Jam went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Navad Urmia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 19
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mazandaran32199446:1566
2Mes Shahr Babak321810439:1464
3Pars Janoobi Jam321412638:2154
4Sanat Naft321412634:2154
5Saipa321411727:1853
6Havadar SC321116530:1849
7Fard321015724:1445
8Naft Bandar Abbas32917623:1844
9Mes Kerman32915820:1742
10Ario Eslamshahr32815916:1639
11Besat Kermanshah329111224:2738
12Niroye Zamini328111327:2835
13Naft Gachsaran327131223:3734
14Kara Gostar Shabestar32891516:3433
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm327101519:3531
16Shahrdari Noshahr325141317:2729
17Navad Urmia324121616:4324
18Damash Gilan322121816:5218