Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Partick vs Ayr

Scotland Scotland

Championship Firhill Stadium, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
McBeth L.
26'
Loughrey C.
38' Event
Drozd S.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Partick and Ayr finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Partick.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Partick
35%
Draws
26%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Partick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Partick carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Partick a 39% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Partick Clean Sheet 20%
Ayr Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partick Ayr
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 13 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Championship
Partick vs Ayr
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Partick
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Partick vs Ayr
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Partick
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Championship
Partick vs Ayr
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Partick Compare

Top Goalscorer Drozd S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ayr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partick 40 / 100
Ayr 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partick Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partick Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partick's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ayr let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Partick went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Partick VS Ayr
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Partick

(Home)
19 Sept
Partick
0 : 0
Raith
15 Sept
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0
Partick
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
21 Aug
Inverness
1 : 1
Partick
Page 1 of 6

Ayr

(Away)
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Ayr
1 : 3
Inverness
05 Sept
Partick
1 : 0
Ayr
29 Aug
Ayr
1 : 1
Morton
22 Aug
Raith
2 : 0
Ayr
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)