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Stadium Background

Partick vs Montrose

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup Firhill Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Partick play Montrose in the Scottish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Partick averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Montrose averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Partick won 3, Montrose won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Partick and 0.88 for Montrose. This points to a Partick double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Partick
32%
Draws
29%
Montrose
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Partick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Partick picked up more points recently compared to Montrose.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Partick Clean Sheet 25%
Montrose Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partick Montrose
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 13 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Scottish Cup
Partick vs Montrose
3:1
Jul 13, 2024 League Cup
Partick vs Montrose
3:2
Jul 23, 2022 League Cup
Partick vs Montrose
4:2
May 4, 2021 League One
Montrose vs Partick
3:2
Apr 24, 2021 League One
Montrose vs Partick
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Partick Compare

Top Goalscorer Watt T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diack R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer North T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partick 40 / 100
Montrose 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partick Montrose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Partick or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Partick attacking → ← attacking Montrose

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partick scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Montrose let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Partick went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Montrose lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 38
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75