Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Firhill Stadium, Glasgow

Partick

Tue, Jul 21, 2026

2 - 3

06:45 PM

Stenhousemuir

Our Tip

Match Events

O'Reilly E.

(Penalty)

23'

Penman C.

Assist: Hodgkiss L.

33'

Smyth O.

Assist: Henderson E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Partick

30%

Draws

47%

Stenhousemuir

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stenhousemuir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Stenhousemuir come out ahead of Partick on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Stenhousemuir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Stenhousemuir, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Partick Clean Sheet 20%

Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Partick	Stenhousemuir
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	11	21
Draws	12	6
Losses	5	4
Goals Scored	1.39	1.42
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.71
Expected Goals (xG)	0.76	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Championship

Stenhousemuir vs Partick

1:0

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup

Partick vs Stenhousemuir

2:3

Jul 9, 2022 League Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Partick

1:2

Jul 17, 2021 League Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Partick

1:2

Nov 16, 2019 Challenge Cup

Stenhousemuir vs Partick

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Partick Compare

Top Goalscorer Smyth O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Watt T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Penman C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partick 36 / 100

Stenhousemuir 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Partick Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stenhousemuir Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Partick found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Partick stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Stenhousemuir conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Partick VS Stenhousemuir

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63

38% Over 1.5 63%

13% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Partick

(Home)

19 Sept

Partick

0 : 0

Raith

15 Sept

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Partick

05 Sept

Partick

1 : 0

Ayr

29 Aug

Partick

0 : 0

Queen's Park

21 Aug

Inverness

1 : 1

Partick

Page 1 of 6

Stenhousemuir

(Away)

25 Sept

Ayr

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

19 Sept

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Arbroath

15 Sept

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Partick

11 Sept

Stenhousemuir

0 : 3

Hearts

04 Sept

Livingston

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

Page 1 of 7