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Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Chavdar Troyan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Partizan Cerven Brjag host Chavdar Troyan in the Third League - North-West. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Partizan Cerven Brjag have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Chavdar Troyan's 1.04 scored and 2.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Partizan Cerven Brjag have won 2 to Chavdar Troyan's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 2, 2013, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.94, favoring Partizan Cerven Brjag. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Partizan Cerven Brjag
30%
Draws
31%
Chavdar Troyan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Partizan Cerven Brjag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Partizan Cerven Brjag carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Partizan Cerven Brjag a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Partizan Cerven Brjag Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partizan Cerven Brjag Chavdar Troyan
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.45 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2013 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Chavdar Troyan
5:0
Nov 4, 2012 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partizan Cerven Brjag 58 / 100
Chavdar Troyan 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partizan Cerven Brjag Chavdar Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Partizan Cerven Brjag Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Partizan Cerven Brjag scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Chavdar Troyan conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Partizan Cerven Brjag stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Partizan Cerven Brjag VS Chavdar Troyan
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Partizan Cerven Brjag

(Home)
17 Oct
OFK Levski
4 : 0
Partizan Cerven Brjag
10 Oct
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 0
Pavlikeni
04 Oct
Spartak Pleven II
1 : 0
Partizan Cerven Brjag
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
19 Sept
Yantra Polski Trambesh
2 : 2
Partizan Cerven Brjag
Page 1 of 7

Chavdar Troyan

(Away)
10 Oct
Akademik Svishtov
4 : 2
Chavdar Troyan
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 7 5 2 0 15:5 17
2 Kom Berkovitsa 8 3 4 1 16:13 13
3 Lokomotiv Mezdra 6 2 4 0 11:6 10
4 Yantra Polski Trambesh 7 2 4 1 17:15 10
5 Sevlievo 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
6 Bdin Vidin 7 3 0 4 14:16 9
7 Partizan Cerven Brjag 7 2 3 2 7:9 9
8 OFK Levski 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
9 Chavdar Troyan 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
10 Pavlikeni 8 2 0 6 7:13 6
11 Spartak Pleven II 8 1 3 4 15:27 6
12 Etar II 6 1 1 4 14:14 4
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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