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Partizan vs Novi Pazar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Partizan host Novi Pazar in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Partizan at 1.76 goals for, 1.39 against; Novi Pazar at 1 for, 1.54 against. Head-to-head, Partizan have won 4 to Novi Pazar's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.13, favoring Partizan. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Partizan
35%
Draws
39%
Novi Pazar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Partizan have won more games recently than Novi Pazar.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Partizan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Partizan Clean Sheet 20%
Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Partizan Novi Pazar
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Partizan vs Novi Pazar
2:1
Apr 9, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Partizan
2:3
Nov 9, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Partizan vs Novi Pazar
2:0
May 4, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Novi Pazar vs Partizan
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Partizan vs Novi Pazar
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Partizan 32 / 100
Novi Pazar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Partizan Novi Pazar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Partizan's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Novi Pazar let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Partizan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Partizan VS Novi Pazar
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Partizan

(Home)
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
19 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
4 : 4
Partizan
13 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Vojvodina
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1
Partizan
31 Aug
Partizan
3 : 1
OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
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Novi Pazar

(Away)
19 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 2
Zemun
12 Sept
Cukaricki
1 : 1
Novi Pazar
04 Sept
Novi Pazar
2 : 0
Zeleznicar Pancevo
29 Aug
Novi Pazar
1 : 1
Macva Sabac
23 Aug
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 0
Novi Pazar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crvena zvezda 10 9 1 0 24:3 28
2 Vojvodina 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
3 Radnicki 1923 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
4 Mladost Lucani 10 4 4 2 10:12 16
5 IMT Novi Beograd 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
6 Zeleznicar Pancevo 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
7 Radnik Surdulica 10 3 5 2 14:15 14
8 Novi Pazar 10 3 4 3 10:11 13
9 Cukaricki 10 3 2 5 12:18 11
10 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
11 Partizan 9 2 2 5 17:19 8
12 Radnicki Nis 9 2 2 5 6:11 8
13 Macva Sabac 10 2 2 6 6:17 8
14 Zemun 10 0 3 7 6:19 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group)