Sport Picks
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Istiqlol Dushanbe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tajikistan
Vysshaya Liga 
AI Match Summary
Istiqlol Dushanbe in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Istiqlol Dushanbe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Istiqlol Dushanbe lately — more wins on the board than Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov.
- Model gives Istiqlol Dushanbe a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Istiqlol Dushanbe have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Clean Sheet 10%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 20 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 0.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:4
Apr 12, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
3:0
Oct 10, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
2:8
Apr 7, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
0:4
Dec 13, 2015 Vysshaya Liga
Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 10 / 100
Istiqlol Dushanbe 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Istiqlol Dushanbe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Istiqlol Dushanbe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Istiqlol Dushanbe let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.
Solid form: Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov VS Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
(Home) 09 Oct
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 1 Khujand
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4 Istiqlol Dushanbe
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
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09 Oct
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 1 Khujand
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4 Istiqlol Dushanbe
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4 Sardor Tursunzoda
22 May
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
1 : 2 Eskhata
10 May
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
1 : 1 Vakhsh
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Istiqlol Dushanbe
(Away) 15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0 Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4 Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4 Istiqlol Dushanbe
15 Aug
Ravshan Kulob
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
02 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regar-TadAZ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25:9 | 40 |
| 2 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 23:6 | 37 |
| 3 | Khosilot Parkhar | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:17 | 34 |
| 4 | CSKA Pomir Dushanbe | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 27 |
| 5 | Khujand | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 16:11 | 27 |
| 6 | Barkchi Hisor | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24:25 | 24 |
| 7 | Ravshan Kulob | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 8 | Vakhsh | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Eskhata | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:33 | 15 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 23:31 | 11 |
| 12 | Istaravshan | 18 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 15:36 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
