Sport Picks
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Istiqlol Dushanbe
Tajikistan
Vysshaya Liga 2016 
AI Match Summary
Istiqlol Dushanbe in this Vysshaya Liga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Istiqlol Dushanbe have won more games recently than Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Vysshaya Liga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Istiqlol Dushanbe have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 3 | 23 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Istiqlol Dushanbe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 37 matches.
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Istiqlol Dushanbe | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 67:20 | 45 |
| 2 | Khosilot Parkhar | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40:16 | 37 |
| 3 | Regar-TadAZ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 36:23 | 32 |
| 4 | Barkchi Hisor | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 32:25 | 29 |
| 5 | Xayr Vahdat | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 29 |
| 6 | CSKA Pomir Dushanbe | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 7 | Khujand | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 22:37 | 25 |
| 8 | Vakhsh | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:39 | 18 |
| 9 | Ravshan Kulob | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17:50 | 9 |
| 10 | Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14:50 | 5 |