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Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Khujand

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov host Khujand in the Vysshaya Liga. Khujand go into this one as the clear favorite. Khujand have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov have conceded 2.37 and scored 0.77. Past meetings favor Khujand slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 1.63, favoring Khujand. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
20%
Draws
63%
Khujand
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Khujand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Khujand have won more games recently than Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov.
  • Win probability leans Khujand's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Clean Sheet 14%
Khujand Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Khujand
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.37 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0:2
Oct 15, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Khujand
0:4
Apr 23, 2016 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
1:0
Dec 6, 2015 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Khujand
0:0
Nov 17, 2015 Vysshaya Liga
Khujand vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 10 / 100
Khujand 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Khujand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khujand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Khujand let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov VS Khujand
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

(Home)
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
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Khujand

(Away)
15 Sept
Khujand
1 : 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
16 Aug
Istaravshan
0 : 2
Khujand
01 Aug
Khujand
1 : 1
CSKA Pomir Dushanbe
27 Jun
Eskhata
0 : 1
Khujand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
2 Regar-TadAZ 17 11 4 2 23:9 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 Barkchi Hisor 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
5 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 16 7 3 6 18:20 24
6 Khujand 16 6 6 4 15:11 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 17 4 3 10 15:32 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 17 0 6 11 15:35 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)