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Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Sardor Tursunzoda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov and Sardor Tursunzoda finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sardor Tursunzoda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
20%
Draws
50%
Sardor Tursunzoda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sardor Tursunzoda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov come out ahead of Sardor Tursunzoda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sardor Tursunzoda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Clean Sheet 10%
Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Sardor Tursunzoda
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 4 3
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.79 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov vs Sardor Tursunzoda
2:4
Mar 13, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Sardor Tursunzoda vs Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 / 100
Sardor Tursunzoda 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov Sardor Tursunzoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sardor Tursunzoda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardor Tursunzoda let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov VS Sardor Tursunzoda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov

(Home)
09 Oct
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 1
Khujand
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
08 Sept
Ravshan Kulob
2 : 3
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
30 Aug
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
0 : 4
Istiqlol Dushanbe
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
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Sardor Tursunzoda

(Away)
16 Sept
Barkchi Hisor
2 : 0
Sardor Tursunzoda
11 Sept
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Vakhsh
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
31 Jul
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
2 : 4
Sardor Tursunzoda
28 Jun
Sardor Tursunzoda
0 : 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Regar-TadAZ 18 12 4 2 25:9 40
2 Istiqlol Dushanbe 17 11 4 2 23:6 37
3 Khosilot Parkhar 17 10 4 3 34:17 34
4 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 17 8 3 6 19:20 27
5 Khujand 17 7 6 4 16:11 27
6 Barkchi Hisor 17 7 3 7 24:25 24
7 Ravshan Kulob 17 6 4 7 23:19 22
8 Vakhsh 17 4 8 5 24:24 20
9 Eskhata 17 5 4 8 22:32 19
10 Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov 18 4 3 11 15:33 15
11 Sardor Tursunzoda 16 2 5 9 23:31 11
12 Istaravshan 18 0 6 12 15:36 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)