Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAS Mates vs Pamplemousses

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between PAS Mates and Pamplemousses finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pamplemousses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
PAS Mates
30%
Draws
58%
Pamplemousses
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pamplemousses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Pamplemousses carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Pamplemousses taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pamplemousses here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
PAS Mates Clean Sheet 10%
Pamplemousses Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAS Mates Pamplemousses
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.7 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Super League
Pamplemousses vs PAS Mates
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
PAS Mates vs Pamplemousses
1:4
Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Pamplemousses vs PAS Mates
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Super League
PAS Mates vs Pamplemousses
0:1
Mar 25, 2012 Super League
Pamplemousses vs PAS Mates
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAS Mates 10 / 100
Pamplemousses 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAS Mates Pamplemousses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplemousses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pamplemousses conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

PAS Mates's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

PAS Mates has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PAS Mates VS Pamplemousses
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PAS Mates

(Home)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
19 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 1
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
28 Mar
PAS Mates
0 : 3
Petite Riviere
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
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Pamplemousses

(Away)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
23 Apr
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
0 : 2
Pamplemousses
18 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 0
Port Louis
15 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 0
Pamplemousses
15 Mar
Pamplemousses
3 : 2
Cercle De Joachim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)