Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017

Deportivo Getxo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pasaia play Deportivo Getxo in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pasaia averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Deportivo Getxo averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Pasaia won 2, Deportivo Getxo won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Pasaia and 1.50 for Deportivo Getxo. This points to a Pasaia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Pasaia

18%

Draws

40%

Deportivo Getxo

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Pasaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Pasaia picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Getxo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 32%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Pasaia Clean Sheet 16%

Deportivo Getxo Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pasaia	Deportivo Getxo
Matches Played	41	32
Wins	13	9
Draws	10	9
Losses	18	14
Goals Scored	0.85	0.78
Goals Conceded	1.32	1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Pasaia vs Deportivo Getxo

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Dec 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Deportivo Getxo vs Pasaia

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

May 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Pasaia vs Deportivo Getxo

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Deportivo Getxo vs Pasaia

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Apr 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Pasaia vs Deportivo Getxo

Possession: 60% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasaia 41 / 100

Deportivo Getxo 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pasaia Deportivo Getxo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pasaia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +23.2%

3.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pasaia attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Getxo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pasaia scored in 56% of their last 41 games.

Deportivo Getxo let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Pasaia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Getxo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 36

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alaves B	38	22	8	8	57:20	74
2	CD Vitoria	38	22	6	10	60:39	72
3	SCD Durango	38	19	14	5	56:27	71
4	Beasain	38	20	10	8	51:29	70
5	Portugalete	38	18	15	5	56:39	69
6	Bermeo	38	14	14	10	53:41	56
7	SD Deusto	38	14	13	11	46:45	55
8	Santurtzi	38	13	14	11	44:38	53
9	Balmaseda	38	13	12	13	41:40	51
10	Basconia	38	12	12	14	50:55	48
11	Sodupe	38	13	8	17	55:67	47
12	Amurrio Club	38	11	13	14	39:39	46
13	Deportivo Getxo	38	13	6	19	39:45	45
14	Lagun Onak	38	12	9	17	30:47	45
15	Real Sociedad C	38	10	14	14	36:35	44
16	Santutxu FC	38	8	17	13	38:45	41
17	Tolosa	38	9	12	17	32:49	39
18	Aurrera Ondarroa	38	9	11	18	27:54	38
19	Zalla UC	38	7	12	19	39:63	33
20	Pasaia	38	7	8	23	35:67	29