Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pasaia vs Oiartzun

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pasaia in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pasaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pasaia
30%
Draws
39%
Oiartzun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oiartzun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pasaia lately — more wins on the board than Oiartzun.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pasaia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 20%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasaia Oiartzun
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Oiartzun
4:0
Aug 24, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Pasaia
1:2
Mar 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Oiartzun
3:2
Oct 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Pasaia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasaia 32 / 100
Oiartzun 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasaia Oiartzun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oiartzun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Pasaia scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Pasaia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pasaia VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasaia

(Home)
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 6

Oiartzun

(Away)
16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2
Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0
Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0
Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1
Balmaseda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leioa 38 24 9 5 62:34 81
2 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 67:38 70
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 9 9 67:39 69
4 Basconia 38 19 10 9 77:49 67
5 Alaves B 38 17 11 10 54:33 62
6 Zalla UC 38 16 12 10 55:45 60
7 Gernika Club 38 15 14 9 43:29 59
8 Zamudio 38 15 11 12 64:48 56
9 Balmaseda 38 14 13 11 45:40 55
10 Beasain 38 14 10 14 45:59 52
11 Santutxu FC 38 9 21 8 37:40 48
12 SCD Durango 38 13 9 16 52:57 48
13 Pasaia 38 12 10 16 39:48 46
14 Lagun Onak 38 12 9 17 34:46 45
15 Oiartzun 38 11 11 16 40:61 44
16 Amurrio Club 38 11 9 18 31:45 42
17 Bermeo 38 9 12 17 37:46 39
18 Elgoibar 38 7 14 17 26:48 35
19 Sodupe 38 5 10 23 36:65 25
20 Retuerto Sport 38 5 10 23 21:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)