Sport Picks
Pasaia vs Real Sociedad C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 
Match Events
2'
2'
Garitaonaindia Uriarte H.
7'
7'
Corrillero Y.
54'
54'
Letamendia I.
AI Match Summary
Pasaia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pasaia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pasaia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Pasaia haven't matched Real Sociedad C's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Pasaia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 10%
Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pasaia | Real Sociedad C |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Real Sociedad C
3:2
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Pasaia
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Real Sociedad C
0:1
May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Real Sociedad C
0:5
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Real Sociedad C vs Pasaia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pasaia Compare
Top Goalscorer Corrillero Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fraile U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Real Sociedad C Compare
Top Goalscorer Garitaonaindia Uriarte H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Letamendia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pasaia 34 / 100
Real Sociedad C 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pasaia Real Sociedad C
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Pasaia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Pasaia scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Real Sociedad C's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Pasaia VS Real Sociedad C
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pasaia
(Home) 03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0 Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2 Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2 Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1 Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2 SD Erandio
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0 Santurtzi
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2 Real Sociedad C
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2 SD Erandio
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1 Anorga
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2 UD Aretxabaleta
Page 1 of 3
Real Sociedad C
(Away) 04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3 Real Sociedad C
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3 Real Union B
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2 Real Sociedad C
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0 Real Sociedad C
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Eibar C
2 : 3 Real Sociedad C
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2 Real Sociedad C
05 Sept
Derio
0 : 0 Real Sociedad C
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2 Real Sociedad C
26 Apr
UD Aretxabaleta
2 : 5 Real Sociedad C
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 6 | Touring KE | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 10 | SCD Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | SD Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 12 | San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Sodupe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)
