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Pasaia vs Urduliz FT

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Ruiz E.
58' Event
Ruiz E.
88'
Delpuerto U.

AI Match Summary

Urduliz FT in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urduliz FT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pasaia
20%
Draws
40%
Urduliz FT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Urduliz FT at 1.1 per game, Pasaia at 0.91.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Pasaia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 20%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasaia Urduliz FT
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.91 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Urduliz FT
0:2
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Pasaia
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Urduliz FT
3:1
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Pasaia
0:1
Mar 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs Urduliz FT
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pasaia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Urduliz FT Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasaia 49 / 100
Urduliz FT 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasaia Urduliz FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pasaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Urduliz FT conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Pasaia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pasaia's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pasaia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasaia

(Home)
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
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Urduliz FT

(Away)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)