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Pasion Celeste vs Real Mizque

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Pasion Celeste
39%
Draws
31%
Real Mizque
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pasion Celeste average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Real Mizque's 1.38.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Pasion Celeste Clean Sheet 68%
Real Mizque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pasion Celeste Real Mizque
Matches Played 14 22
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mizque vs Pasion Celeste
2:2
Jun 4, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pasion Celeste vs Real Mizque
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pasion Celeste 41 / 100
Real Mizque 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pasion Celeste Real Mizque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pasion Celeste scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

Real Mizque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pasion Celeste went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pasion Celeste VS Real Mizque
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pasion Celeste

(Home)
11 Nov
Torre Fuerte
5 : 1
Pasion Celeste
06 Nov
Pasion Celeste
1 : 0
Torre Fuerte
28 Oct
Fancesa
4 : 2
Pasion Celeste
21 Oct
Pasion Celeste
2 : 1
Torre Fuerte
08 Oct
Pasion Celeste
3 : 2
Fancesa
Page 1 of 3

Real Mizque

(Away)
26 Nov
Real Mizque
1 : 4
GV San Jose
19 Nov
GV San Jose
4 : 1
Real Mizque
11 Nov
Real Mizque
3 : 0
Fatic
05 Nov
Fatic
2 : 0
Real Mizque
22 Oct
Stormers SL
1 : 2
Real Mizque
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario Beni642011:314
2San Lorenzo del Beni62316:89
3Alianza Beni61324:46
4Los Almendros60245:112
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fancesa853019:418
2Nacional Sucre834112:913
3Deportivo Aleman841312:1113
4Atletico Sucre832317:1511
5Independiente Recreo80086:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio Bulo Bulo852117:517
2Pasion Celeste834112:713
3Real Mizque83418:713
4Enrique Happ824212:710
5Israel University80084:270
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic853024:718
2Academia del Balompie833224:912
3Hiska Nacional833212:1012
4Chaco Petrolero833215:1412
5Huayna Potosi Palcoco80087:42-2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GV San Jose862023:720
2Sur-Car841317:1513
3Real Oruro833220:912
4Em Huanuni822415:128
5CM Poopo81074:363
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Pando22007:26
2Real Mapajo20022:70
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi650112:215
2Stormers SL632110:211
3Rosario Central62137:67
4Huracan Tupiza60150:191
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz861125:819
2Torre Fuerte850315:715
324 de Septiembre833214:1212
4River 6681259:225
5Universidad Crucena81256:205
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal de Tarija851216:816
2Municipalidad de Yacuiba842214:1414
3Atletico Bermejo841312:713
4Ciclon81434:87
5Garcia Agreda80445:144
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams