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Patacona vs Roda

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Marza D.
86' Event
Prera M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 game between Patacona and Roda finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Patacona
20%
Draws
60%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Roda come out ahead of Patacona on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Roda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Roda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Patacona Clean Sheet 21%
Roda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patacona Roda
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 12 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Roda
0:2
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Patacona
5:3
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Patacona
2:0
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Roda
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Patacona vs Roda
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patacona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Marza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patacona 29 / 100
Roda 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patacona Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patacona scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Roda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Roda lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Roda
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Patacona

(Home)
11 May
Patacona
0 : 2
Roda
04 May
Villarreal C
1 : 1
Patacona
26 Apr
Patacona
0 : 2
Atzeneta
17 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
3 : 2
Patacona
13 Apr
Patacona
0 : 0
Castellonense
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Roda

(Away)
13 Sept
Villarreal C
2 : 1
Roda
06 Sept
Roda
2 : 1
Ontinyent 1931 CF
22 Aug
Roda
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
09 May
Crevillente
2 : 0
Roda
02 May
Roda
0 : 1
Soneja
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)