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Paterna vs Muro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muro in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Paterna
15%
Draws
42%
Muro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paterna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muro lately — more wins on the board than Paterna.
  • Model gives Paterna a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Paterna Clean Sheet 20%
Muro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paterna Muro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 13 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Muro
2:2
Dec 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Paterna
0:1
Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Muro
0:2
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Paterna
2:0
Jan 24, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Muro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paterna 36 / 100
Muro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paterna Muro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paterna scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Muro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Paterna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paterna VS Muro
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Paterna

(Home)
06 Jun
Villajoyosa
1 : 5
Paterna
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
16 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Crevillente
08 May
Hercules B
1 : 0
Paterna
01 May
Paterna
0 : 1
Villajoyosa
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Muro

(Away)
27 Jul
Muro
0 : 4
Alcoyano
12 Sept
Muro
1 : 3
Alcoyano
06 Aug
Muro
2 : 0
Alcoyano
11 May
Muro
3 : 0
Villarreal C
07 May
Almoradi
0 : 5
Muro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Saguntino 38 25 7 6 62:25 82
2 Ontinyent 38 23 5 10 62:39 74
3 Castellon 38 19 10 9 60:41 67
4 Ilicitano 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
5 Villarreal C 38 15 16 7 64:43 61
6 Alzira 38 18 6 14 57:50 60
7 Orihuela 38 16 8 14 50:46 56
8 Novelda CF 38 15 10 13 51:39 55
9 Rayo Ibense 38 15 10 13 38:40 55
10 Torre Levante 38 13 14 11 43:35 53
11 Crevillente 38 13 12 13 41:37 51
12 Torrevieja 38 14 9 15 46:47 51
13 Muro 38 13 10 15 44:51 49
14 Paterna 38 10 12 16 38:53 42
15 Catarroja CF 38 13 3 22 42:61 42
16 Borriol 38 10 10 18 36:51 40
17 CD Bunol 38 9 12 17 22:43 39
18 Espanol de San Vicente 38 8 14 16 34:48 38
19 UD Beniganim 38 7 12 19 41:66 33
20 Acero 38 5 10 23 28:69 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)