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Paterna vs Novelda CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paterna in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paterna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Paterna
15%
Draws
26%
Novelda CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paterna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paterna lately — more wins on the board than Novelda CF.
  • Win probability leans Paterna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Paterna Clean Sheet 16%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paterna Novelda CF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0.93 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Novelda CF
2:0
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Paterna
2:1
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Paterna
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Paterna vs Novelda CF
2:2
May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Paterna
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paterna 84 / 100
Novelda CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paterna Novelda CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paterna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Paterna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Novelda CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paterna VS Novelda CF
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paterna

(Home)
06 Jun
Villajoyosa
1 : 5
Paterna
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
16 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Crevillente
08 May
Hercules B
1 : 0
Paterna
01 May
Paterna
0 : 1
Villajoyosa
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Novelda CF

(Away)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
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