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Paterno vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Paterno
20%
Draws
73%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Vibonese have won more games recently than Paterno.
  • Vibonese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Paterno Clean Sheet 17%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paterno Vibonese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.67 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Vibonese
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Paterno
2:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Paterno
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Vibonese
0:0
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Vibonese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paterno 10 / 100
Vibonese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paterno Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Paterno scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Solid form: Paterno remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paterno VS Vibonese
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paterno

(Home)
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1
Paterno
26 Apr
Paterno
1 : 3
Castrumfavara
19 Apr
Reggina
2 : 0
Paterno
12 Apr
Paterno
0 : 0
Milazzo
02 Apr
Sambiase
3 : 1
Paterno
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Vibonese

(Away)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)