Sport Picks
Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C.
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani 
Match Events
4'
4'
Bissoli
Assist: Mueanta S.
25'
25'
Sub
Pimoytha T. In: Choolthong W.
Out: Pimoytha T.
32'
32'
Santana R.
Assist: Songkrasin C.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Pathum United and Buriram United F.C. finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buriram United F.C..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Buriram United F.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Pathum United haven't matched Buriram United F.C.'s recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Buriram United F.C. taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 20%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pathum United | Buriram United F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 36 |
| Wins | 17 | 26 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C.
0:3
Apr 8, 2026 League Cup
Buriram United F.C. vs Pathum United
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C.
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 Thai League 1
Buriram United F.C. vs Pathum United
2:2
Sep 24, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Pathum United vs Buriram United F.C.
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pathum United Compare
Top Goalscorer Santana R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Buriram United F.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Bissoli
1 Goals Assists Leader Mueanta S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pathum United 24 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pathum United Buriram United F.C.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Pathum United scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.
Solid form: Pathum United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Buriram United F.C. has conceded goals in 56% of their last 36 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pathum United VS Buriram United F.C.
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pathum United
(Home) 26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5 Pathum United
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1 Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0 Prachuap
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
22 Mar
Pathum United
2 : 2 Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 4
Buriram United F.C.
(Away) 26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0 Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0 Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 8
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
06 May
Johor DT
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
29 Apr
Rayong FC
3 : 0 Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
