Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pathum United vs Chiangrai Utd

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pathum United host Chiangrai Utd in the Thai League 1. This one's hard to separate. Pathum United have averaged 1.59 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Chiangrai Utd's 1.77 scored and 1.23 conceded. Past meetings favor Pathum United slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.83 xG vs 0.93) point toward Pathum United. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pathum United
35%
Draws
37%
Chiangrai Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chiangrai Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Pathum United have won more games recently than Chiangrai Utd.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 20%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pathum United Chiangrai Utd
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 11
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.77
Goals Conceded 1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Chiangrai Utd
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Pathum United
1:0
Jan 18, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Pathum United
1:0
Aug 28, 2024 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Chiangrai Utd
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Pathum United
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pathum United 32 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pathum United Chiangrai Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiangrai Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pathum United's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Chiangrai Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pathum United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pathum United VS Chiangrai Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1 Goals Conceded 0.29
63% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pathum United

(Home)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0
Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
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Chiangrai Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
05 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Chonburi
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)