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Pathum United vs Prachuap

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Doi T.
18'
Sub
Jamnongwat W. In: Nonthasila S.
Out: Jamnongwat W.
26'
Kaman K.

AI Match Summary

Pathum United in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pathum United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pathum United
30%
Draws
35%
Prachuap
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pathum United lately — more wins on the board than Prachuap.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Pathum United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 68%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pathum United Prachuap
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Prachuap
3:0
Jan 14, 2026 Thai FA Cup
Prachuap vs Pathum United
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Pathum United
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Prachuap
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Pathum United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pathum United Compare

Top Goalscorer Doi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nonthasila S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Prachuap Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pathum United 50 / 100
Prachuap 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pathum United Prachuap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pathum United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pathum United scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Prachuap has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Pathum United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pathum United VS Prachuap
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pathum United

(Home)
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0
Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
04 Aug
Pathum United
1 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

Prachuap

(Away)
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0
Prachuap
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)