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Stadium Background

Pathum United vs Rasisalai United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Raniel
Assist: Choolthong W.
12' Event
Raniel
(Penalty)
17' Event
Gilberto Macena
Assist: Palapon J.

AI Match Summary

Pathum United in this Thai League 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pathum United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Pathum United
35%
Draws
22%
Rasisalai United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pathum United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rasisalai United have won more games recently than Pathum United.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 20%
Rasisalai United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pathum United Rasisalai United
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.56 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Thai League 1
Pathum United vs Rasisalai United
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pathum United Compare

Top Goalscorer Raniel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Magno
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Rasisalai United Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilberto Macena
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pathum United 32 / 100
Rasisalai United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pathum United Rasisalai United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pathum United scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Rasisalai United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Pathum United has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pathum United VS Rasisalai United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.71
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Pathum United

(Home)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0
Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 7

Rasisalai United

(Away)
19 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2
Port MTI FC
22 Aug
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0
Rasisalai United
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3
Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
4 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
5 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
8 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
9 Ratchaburi 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sukhothai 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
13 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)