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Pathum United vs Rasisalai United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pathum United host Rasisalai United in the Thai League 1. This one's hard to separate. Rasisalai United have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Pathum United have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.5. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.33 - 1.46) back Rasisalai United to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pathum United
40%
Draws
29%
Rasisalai United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rasisalai United average 2.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Pathum United's 1.5.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pathum United Clean Sheet 16%
Rasisalai United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pathum United Rasisalai United
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2.17
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pathum United 31 / 100
Rasisalai United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pathum United Rasisalai United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pathum United scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Rasisalai United conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pathum United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pathum United VS Rasisalai United
1.5 Goals Scored 2.17
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Pathum United

(Home)
26 Jul
Pathum United
0 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
12 Jul
Roi Et United
0 : 5
Pathum United
24 May
Pathum United
0 : 1
Port MTI FC
10 May
Pathum United
3 : 0
Prachuap
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1
Pathum United
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Rasisalai United

(Away)
25 Apr
Nong Bua Pitchaya
3 : 3
Rasisalai United
18 Apr
Rasisalai United
3 : 0
Mahasarakham
04 Apr
Chiangmai United
1 : 2
Rasisalai United
21 Mar
Rasisalai United
2 : 2
Phrae United
15 Mar
Kasetsart
0 : 1
Rasisalai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.00000:00
2Pathum United00000:00
3Bangkok Utd00000:00
4Chonburi00000:00
5Port MTI FC00000:00
6Chiangrai Utd00000:00
7Ratchaburi00000:00
8Ayutthaya United00000:00
9Prachuap00000:00
10Sukhothai00000:00
11Lamphun Warrior00000:00
12Pattani00000:00
13Uthai Thani00000:00
14Rayong FC00000:00
15Rasisalai United00000:00
16Sisaket United00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)