Sport Picks

Pathum United vs Tai Po - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia

AFC Champions League 2 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani

Pathum United

4 - 1

Tai Po

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Jurina M.

Assist: Yooyen S.

33'

Sim S.

37'

Jurina M.

Assist: Andersen L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pathum United in this AFC Champions League 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pathum United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Pathum United

15%

Draws

34%

Tai Po

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pathum United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Tai Po have won more games recently than Pathum United.
Win probability leans Pathum United's way, sitting at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Pathum United Clean Sheet 16%

Tai Po Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pathum United	Tai Po
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	18
Draws	9	1
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1.59	2.03
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2026 AFC Champions League 2

Pathum United vs Tai Po

4:1

Oct 29, 2026 AFC Champions League 2

Tai Po vs Pathum United

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pathum United Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurina M.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Matheus Costa

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Tai Po Compare

Top Goalscorer Wallisson Bahia

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pathum United 84 / 100

Tai Po 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pathum United Tai Po

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pathum United Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tai Po let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Pathum United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Pathum United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pathum United VS Tai Po

1.38 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pathum United

(Home)

05 Nov

Pathum United

4 : 1

Tai Po

02 Nov

Chonburi

1 : 0

Pathum United

29 Oct

Tai Po

0 : 3

Pathum United

24 Oct

Pathum United

2 : 0

Chiangrai Utd

21 Oct

Khonkaen United

1 : 0

Pathum United

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Tai Po

(Away)

05 Nov

Pathum United

4 : 1

Tai Po

29 Oct

Tai Po

0 : 3

Pathum United

24 Oct

Tai Po

4 : 2

Kitchee

19 Oct

Tai Po

4 : 2

Southern District

15 Oct

Tai Po

0 : 1

Lion City Sailors

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