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Patriotas vs Atletico F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Torres F.
46'
Sub
Cano C. In: Cabezas C.
Out: Cano C.
47'
Figueroa F.

AI Match Summary

Patriotas in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Patriotas
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico F.C.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Patriotas lately — more wins on the board than Atletico F.C..
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Atletico F.C.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Atletico F.C.
2:0
May 11, 2026 Copa Colombia
Atletico F.C. vs Patriotas
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Patriotas
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Patriotas
1:3
May 18, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Atletico F.C.
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Atletico F.C. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 30 / 100
Atletico F.C. 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Atletico F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patriotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico F.C. let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Patriotas scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Atletico F.C. has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Atletico F.C.
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
11 Oct
Bogota
0 : 0
Patriotas
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

Atletico F.C.

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)