Sport Picks
Patriotas vs Barranquilla Prediction & H2H Stats
Colombia
Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja 
Match Events
23'
23'
Alvarez K.
36'
36'
Alvarez K.
46'
46'
Sub
Borja S. In: Munoz J.
Out: Borja S.
AI Match Summary
Patriotas in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Patriotas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Barranquilla lately — more wins on the board than Patriotas.
- Win probability leans Patriotas's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 19%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patriotas | Barranquilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Barranquilla
3:1
Feb 4, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Patriotas
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Patriotas
3:1
Feb 17, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Barranquilla
1:0
Sep 4, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Barranquilla
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patriotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bello Vivas S. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Barranquilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Oviedo P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patriotas 40 / 100
Barranquilla 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patriotas Barranquilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Patriotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Patriotas scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Barranquilla conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Patriotas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Patriotas VS Barranquilla
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Patriotas
(Home) 26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0 Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0 Tigres Futbol Club
24 Aug
Patriotas
2 : 0 Atletico F.C.
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1 Orsomarso
Page 1 of 3
Barranquilla
(Away) 27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1 Real Cundinamarca
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1 Barranquilla
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1 Barranquilla
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2 Barranquilla
25 Aug
Inter Palmira
1 : 0 Barranquilla
20 Aug
Real Santander
2 : 2 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cundinamarca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Tigres Futbol Club | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:3 | 17 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico F.C. | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Real Santander | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Bogota | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 11 |
| 10 | Inter Palmira | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Quindio | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:6 | 9 |
| 14 | Leones | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
