Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patriotas vs Bogota

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Patriotas Logo

Patriotas

0 - 1
FT
Bogota Logo

Bogota

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Fernandez B.
33'
Angulo H.
35'
Sanchez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bogota in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bogota.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Patriotas
30%
Draws
41%
Bogota
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / High Confidence
  • Patriotas average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Bogota's 0.5.
  • Patriotas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 68%
Bogota Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Bogota
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Bogota
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Bogota
1:1
Mar 24, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Patriotas
0:2
Aug 13, 2023 Primera B
Bogota vs Patriotas
0:1
Feb 25, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Bogota
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 59 / 100
Bogota 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Bogota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Patriotas scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Bogota conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Patriotas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Bogota
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
31 Jul
Real Santander
2 : 2
Patriotas
26 Jul
Patriotas
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1
Patriotas
15 May
Patriotas
2 : 3
Millonarios
11 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 1
Patriotas
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Bogota

(Away)
06 Aug
Bogota
0 : 1
Leones
02 Aug
Inter Palmira
0 : 0
Bogota
29 Jul
Bogota
0 : 3
Dep. Pasto
25 Jul
Bogota
1 : 0
Union Magdalena
22 Jul
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Bogota
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Palmira 15 12 2 1 29:13 38
2 Union Magdalena 15 10 2 3 27:15 32
3 Quindio 15 9 4 2 20:10 31
4 Envigado 15 9 2 4 24:14 29
5 Cartagena 15 7 5 3 23:15 26
6 Bogota 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
7 Barranquilla 15 6 2 7 21:20 20
8 Tigres Futbol Club 15 5 5 5 15:14 20
9 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 4 7 4 13:14 19
10 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
11 Patriotas 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
12 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 2 7 6 15:20 13
13 Real Cundinamarca 15 2 7 6 14:19 13
14 Leones 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
15 Atletico F.C. 15 1 6 8 12:23 9
16 Real Santander 15 1 4 10 9:23 7
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)