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Patriotas vs Envigado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Patriotas host Envigado in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Envigado have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Patriotas have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.11. Past meetings favor Envigado slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.25) back Envigado to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Patriotas
35%
Draws
57%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Envigado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Envigado lately — more wins on the board than Patriotas.
  • Win probability leans Envigado's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 19%
Envigado Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Envigado
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.11 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera B
Envigado vs Patriotas
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Primera A
Patriotas vs Envigado
2:0
Feb 27, 2024 Primera A
Envigado vs Patriotas
1:0
Oct 7, 2022 Primera A
Envigado vs Patriotas
3:2
Apr 19, 2022 Primera A
Patriotas vs Envigado
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 28 / 100
Envigado 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Envigado Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Patriotas scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Envigado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Patriotas has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Envigado
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
15 Oct
Leones
1 : 0
Patriotas
11 Oct
Bogota
0 : 0
Patriotas
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
15 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Real Santander
11 Oct
Envigado
1 : 1
Inter Palmira
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 13 7 4 2 17:8 25
2 Real Cundinamarca 13 7 3 3 19:11 24
3 Tigres Futbol Club 13 6 5 2 16:7 23
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
5 Patriotas 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
6 Atletico F.C. 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
7 Cartagena 13 4 5 4 22:17 17
8 Quindio 13 4 5 4 11:13 17
9 Real Santander 13 3 7 3 15:19 16
10 Inter Palmira 13 4 4 5 10:14 16
11 Envigado 13 2 8 3 14:13 14
12 Union Magdalena 13 3 5 5 13:15 14
13 Orsomarso 13 3 5 5 9:12 14
14 Bogota 13 3 5 5 9:13 14
15 Leones 13 3 5 5 11:19 14
16 Barranquilla 13 3 4 6 17:20 13
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)